Everton Season 2013

Everton betting for the remainder of the 2012/13 season has a lot of life left in it. The Toffees have been one of the most proficient teams of the season and while the Premier League title still is far out of reach for the Merseysiders, they are chasing down a place in Europe next season. The big prize for them of course would be a spot in the Champions League and to their credit, with 25 matches of the Premier League season gone, they are well in the hunt to get there. Their biggest challengers for a top four finish look to be Chelsea, Spurs and Arsenal, so the great form that the Toffees produced over the first half of the season needs to be kept up. But still, they have shown enough prowess over the course of the season to have a strong run in over the final fixtures of the season.

After 25 matches played, Everton stood just four points out of third place and had lost just three matches all season, just the once at home. Do they have the wherewithal to improve vastly upon their seventh place finish last season in the English top flight? Because of the challengers from proven top four finishers around them, there is actually value in backing Everton to muscle their way in. The bookmakers have appeared to be more concerned about Tottenham, Chelsea and Arsenal in making a top four finish bid than Everton. So that means value all the way for the Toffees. However, out of their first meetings with Manchester United, Man City, Arsenal, Chelsea and Spurs, the Toffees only beat Tottenham. It is their ability to beat the big guns around them which will determine their outcome.

They do have their strengths at home at Goodison park though, where they lost just one of their first thirteen of the season there. Games there have been full of entertainment because 70% of all games at Goodison Park this season have gone over 2.5 goals. Everton failed to score in just 7% of those thirteen home games. It is good to weigh up the stats that have been produced over the first two thirds of the season to find some Everton betting trends to try and pick up some value on. Over the first 25 matches of the season, Everton had scored the highest percentage of first half goals for example but had also conceded the highest amount in the Premier League. Their most popular home scoreline was 2-1 but Everton have fallen into a lot of drawn matches.

Everton drew 48% of their first 25 matches, and that is a lot of dropped points when you look at the bigger picture. If they had turned just two of those draws into wins, then they would be joint second instead of down in fifth. So in a tight race for a top four finish, there are very thin margins. Unusually for an Everton side this term, there haven’t been many clean sheets for them, so that will keep their margins of victory very narrow over the remaining fixtures. In an alternative to a top four finish, you could look at the Premier League without Man United and Man City betting market, which had the Toffees out at tremendous value around 16/1 in early February. If they mount a solid run in, then it could be up for grabs. There is also the possibility of getting their hands on the FA Cup as well, and could be a great cup side to back.


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