QPR Fighting Relegation
QPR betting for the 2012/13 season is all focused on relegation. Can the R’s survive the drop this season? Things are looking decidedly shaky for them, and at the mark of 25 matches played for the season, they were four points adrift at the foot of the table and a good six points from safety (seven really with their inferior goal difference against the sides just clear of the drop zone). Bookmakers have had the London club as favourites to take a nose dive back down to the Championship for a while, understandable for a club which had won just two of their first 25 games of the season. Still, being favoured and hotly fancied to take the drop, their salvation, even with former Spurs boss Harry Redknapp coming in, looks a long way short of being delivered.
But is there hope for the Hoops? Is there a glimmer of light? Well maybe, because there have been definite signs of improvement under the guidance of Redknapp. They strung together a run of five matches unbeaten from the start of 2013 and in those five matches, they accumulated four clean sheets. So a marked improvement from the miserable 2012 they had, where they lost fourteen of their first twenty matches on the season. So in their first five matches of 2013, they averaged over a point a game and with 25 matches played, that left them thirteen to go. Even if they averaged out a point per game over those final thirteen matches, then they could realistically target around 30 points on the board for the season.
So does that indicate survival? While the form has started to turn around, it may not be enough for survival at the stage of less than a third of the season to go. They took 37 points to stay up last season by a single point. A total of 30 would have seen them relegated. A total of 30 points would have seen them relegated in each of the last four seasons. They would likely need to get somewhere around 36 points to realistically hold on to their Premier League status this time around. So that is the thin line for QPR betting this season. Having already bowed out of the FA Cup in a disappointing home tie against the MK Dons, success for them this season is in avoiding relegation. However, they are favourites and have an uphill task to stay afloat.
Some QPR trends which may be worth following for their remaining matches of the season may still bring some value from betting on the R’s. They have averaged well below a goal per game this season (not even recording three quarters of a goal per game on average) so don’t look for them to score many. Of the goals that they have scored this term, over 60% of them have been in the second half of games. At the 25 game mark for the season, they have only been leading in two of their matches for the season at half time. There is probably a lot of value in backing QPR for drawn matches. Their most popular results this season at home have been 0-0 and 1-1 score lines, which combined have accounted for over 50% of all their matches at Loftus Road.